Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 3.258482 3.815849 4.457840 5.256135 6.227882 7.379605 8.858680
2025-01-12 2.467671 3.177953 4.094359 5.381310 7.170963 9.615399 13.283992
2025-01-19 1.993968 2.724038 3.735798 5.273539 7.611573 11.135309 17.053602
2025-01-26 1.801072 2.587096 3.745447 5.632630 8.741913 13.874217 23.471829
2025-02-02 1.626961 2.435771 3.690327 5.858456 9.688280 16.541866 30.683062
2025-02-09 1.498223 2.326797 3.672167 6.125229 10.746825 19.674072 39.943904
2025-02-16 1.362512 2.182702 3.567422 6.212039 11.485211 22.394314 49.449111
2025-02-23 1.254668 2.067780 3.490743 6.328533 12.299154 25.496655 61.214759
2025-03-02 1.139041 1.922756 3.336788 6.263658 12.717070 27.844888 72.170855
2025-03-09 1.062400 1.836935 3.278019 6.376016 13.544902 31.417743 88.447726
2025-03-16 0.976057 1.722237 3.147316 6.312201 13.950180 34.057927 103.362944
2025-03-23 0.902169 1.622355 3.031976 6.260605 14.372888 36.891551 120.696618
2025-03-30 0.815641 1.498606 2.873247 6.135354 14.725052 40.109527 143.774842
2025-04-06 0.759488 1.430472 2.825527 6.276756 15.886068 46.525704 187.059943
2025-04-13 0.690137 1.325526 2.681009 6.148134 16.249889 50.553373 224.305514
2025-04-20 0.668711 1.317635 2.749629 6.578648 18.439271 62.364713 318.639805
2025-04-27 0.638115 1.285582 2.757242 6.849870 20.244356 73.969120 432.781452
2025-05-04 0.612836 1.261732 2.780126 7.170709 22.360966 88.513862 599.278393
2025-05-11 0.578270 1.212267 2.732332 7.275213 23.759370 100.914200 780.726126
2025-05-18 0.548721 1.170809 2.698382 7.415527 25.371097 115.856959 1033.411921
2025-05-25 0.512292 1.108725 2.601869 7.337377 26.089103 126.643510 1279.179076
2025-06-01 0.488150 1.073670 2.572160 7.472744 27.791077 145.073519 1708.065026
2025-06-08 0.457945 1.020295 2.485125 7.395850 28.535378 158.269091 2127.812473